UNLV Study Finds Rising Hold Rates in Nevada Slot Machines

An analysis by the UNLV Center for Gaming Research indicates that Nevada slot machines now pay back less to players than two decades ago, reinforcing longstanding suspicions among Las Vegas patrons that the games have become “tighter.”

The study reports that statewide slot hold rates have increased from 6.55% in 2004 to 7.1% in 2025, reflecting a consistent rise in the proportion of wagers retained by casinos. This trend is particularly evident on the Las Vegas Strip, where the average hold rate has reached 7.6%, the highest among Nevada’s major gaming regions.

Nevada regulators note that the reduced payouts remain within legal parameters. State law mandates that slot machines return a minimum of 75% of all wagers, a figure significantly lower than the actual returns provided by most modern machines. Typically, slots return approximately 90% over time, although the gradual increase in hold percentages results in players losing marginally more per dollar than in previous years.

The study is published during a period of fluctuating visitation to Las Vegas, while gaming revenue continues to increase. Some gamblers speculate that casinos may be adjusting machine settings to offset reduced foot traffic; however, regulators consider this notion both unrealistic and unnecessary.

Offshore Online Slots Attract U.S. Players Seeking Higher Returns

Slots iconAs Nevada slot machines offer lower returns, many American players are turning to legal online slots provided by offshore casinos. These international platforms accept U.S. players by operating outside domestic jurisdiction, presenting a digital alternative with features designed to appeal to slot enthusiasts.

Offshore casinos generally promote higher return-to-player (RTP) percentages, often between 95% and 98% for popular slot titles, which is substantially higher than the average returns on many Las Vegas casino floors. These platforms also offer 18+ access, cryptocurrency banking options, and a wide variety of slot games not available in most U.S. jurisdictions.

For players dissatisfied with increasing hold rates in Nevada, offshore platforms offer clear advantages, including more frequent wins, larger bonus features, and the convenience of playing from home without the volatility associated with Strip-level payouts. Industry observers report that studies such as UNLV’s, which highlight tighter machines, often correspond with measurable increases in online platform traffic from U.S. states where domestic online casino gaming remains illegal.

Virginia, Georgia, and Texas—states lacking regulated online casinos—are among the largest sources of online slot play. In the absence of a legal online casino framework in most of the United States, offshore operators continue to meet the demand for higher-RTP games and more flexible wagering options.

Players Experience the Effects as Casinos Balance Revenue and Customer Satisfaction

For many Las Vegas visitors, reduced slot payouts represent a tangible change in the casino experience rather than merely a statistical adjustment. Regular players frequently report longer winless streaks, fewer mid-range payouts, and a general perception that machines are “colder” than in previous years. The UNLV report corroborates this perception, noting that hold percentages have increased nearly every year since 2004.

Casinos face a complex challenge in balancing revenue generation with player satisfaction. While higher hold percentages increase revenue, excessively tight machines may frustrate players and decrease overall time spent on devices. The UNLV study underscores this tension, noting that even minor adjustments in hold percentage can significantly impact casino earnings.

Industry analysts attribute the Strip’s higher hold rates to its unique customer base, which consists primarily of tourists who play for entertainment rather than long-term value. In contrast, local markets tend to maintain slightly looser machines to encourage repeat patronage.

Nevertheless, the widespread perception of tighter slot machines has led some players to reconsider their gambling habits and venues, a shift that is increasingly evident in online activity.